Martial expert says Syria won't become the 2nd easily Libyan

　　Outside army clairvoyant

　　Syria won't become the 2nd easily Libyan

Israel army message said recently, syria will be on December 4 its northeast test-fire cannon-shot amounts to 300 kilometers " fleet-footed " missile, missile falls in the border area of Syria and Iraqi border on. Syrian army confirmed this information 8 days, say an armor satin pjs best buy army undertook in churchyard the ball cartridge of many missile launchs exercise, and hit a target accurately entirely.

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And not long ago, the aircraft carrier of beautiful Russia two countries already also sailed region of Syrian adjacent coastal waters, the Israel of Syrian periphery, Jordan and Turkey army already declared 3 states enter combat readiness. Already decided as Libyan overall situation, each focus begins to change condition to the Syria that still worsening, whether can the mode of Libyan war repeat in Syria, get people attention fully.

　　 Repeat in Syria " Libyan mode " the opportunity has not mature

Political power of Ba Sha Er a lot of respects and the likeness of place of Ka Zafei political power that had dropped: It is the eyesore that Syria also is western world, once with Libyan be labelled by the United States together " evil axes " and " scampish country " , especially Syria stands sturdily in Iran at the same time, make try from this the Yu Huai of American be troubled of dominate exclusively middle east. 2 it is current Syrian political situation is queasy with each passing day, for the west interpose offers good opportunity. Syria was executed for years in the past ironhanded and regnant, national political situation all the time very stable. And current " middle east wave " ferment continuously, arise in Syria " resonance effect " .

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A lot of similar point lets people think probable meeting continue to use meets western country Libyan means will solve Syrian problem, but thorough analysis " Libyan mode " a few of need necessary precondition can see, repeat " Libyan mode " the opportunity has not mature.

It is opposition conformity is together above all, build national opposition to arm, give overall support with convenient and outside force. Current, syrian opposition arms faint still with governmental army contends, can wait for as temporary as the country of Syrian photograph adjacent stay in Turkey only. Watch instead at that time Libyan, libyan opposition arms by ultraist of later generations of democratization proponent, Libyan royal family, tribal leader, religion 4 parts are comprised. Although opposition armed personnel lacks martial training, and weaponry photograph is compared at the government army also be in inferior position, but overall for still have certain will to fight. Battle at the beginning of, opposition will occupational town of military importance of a few 15 pin vga to usb oil serves as first goal. After striking back when what suffer governmental army, opposition arms and did not stand fast by right of inferior position weapon Gu city, chose to withdraw to lay force in order to store instantly however. Intervene about in north after Libyan war, opposition armed actual strength increases ceaselessly and hold gradually windward. Subsequently, opposition was not content with the current situation, organize personnel and weapon actively to be oppos the best selling satin pjs ite however governmental army is started strike back, gain a victory finally.

The 2 12 volt adaptor nd pace is the authorization that obtains U.N. to undertake intervention. Beautiful Europe o 12 volt adaptor best buy btains an armed strength very hard to assault Syrian excuse. This from which what Russia overrules beautiful Europe to put forward is knowable to Syrian punish plan. Because object of Russia of permanent member of U.N. Security Council, China stoutly, the U.N. resolution that consequently Security Council cannot bring about alliance of the United States, France, A, Turkey to wait for martial interpose Syria through any likelihoods. And the Libyan situation at that time is different, u.N. passed the resolution that establishs no-fly zone, assault for Euramerican armed strength Libyan provided excuse.

　　 Libyan difference of as military as Syria actual strength is big, decided western country won't dispatch troops easily Syria

The west coerces the determination with Ba Sha nonofficeholding Er already was decided, the possibility of outside intervention is becoming bigger and bigger. But Syrian case is very complex, and grasp in its hand have fight edge tool, the west wants to bite off this hard bone, not be so easy.

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Syria can be in the middle east base oneself upon of chaos caused by war, the martial actual strength of homeland of complete profit from. Although Syria is defeated to be gotten the better of more in the argue with Israel little, but still be regarded as t satin pjs for girls he strong opponent that cannot despise by latter. Current, by Alaweipa the regnant group of dominant does not have the evidence of disintegrate and dissension, and the comprehensive strength of Syrian army excel is Libyan legionary, once face martial interpose of the west, its counteractive level will naturally plunge into phenanthrene by force at card.

Before north is hit to Libyan executive military affairs about, army is the army services with the largest scale in Libyan army, linesman force is 35 thousand person. Stand for war to equip again with revive make a weapon give priority to, have tank 2210, at least 2483 panzer and dogface chariot, each model artillery and self-propelled gun 1882 above, still have in addition " plug " , " Milan " , " firepro satin pjs for man of box " etc antitank missile makes an appointment with 3000 in all. And martial force of Syria is far be in Libyan over. It is reported, after Syria has afterwards Egypt and Iraq the 3rd great war of Arabia world force. This country still has movable type to wait for chemical weapon to weapon of air defence drive and the mustard gas that your west gives birth to Wei, Sha Lin. The headquarters of Syrian army is located in Damascus, this headquarters tube-shaped part gets 3 army, two picked republican armed escort and brigade of two independent artillery, independence are antitank brigade and group of an independent tank. The soldier that Israel estimates Syrian ground force is active exceeds 300 thousand person, and once produce a battle, syria can arouse the 1.7 million civilian that has sufferred training joins army to enlist in army. Syria still has the reserve force of about 300 thousand person, these reserve forces are enough make up 12 two motorization division, dogface brigade and a few otherer special type fights unit.

Actually, syrian army still has a very main power, the from Lebanon shellfish below the enormous pressure that it is in the United States a few years ago namely blocks valley to withdraw the troop that returns home, this army holds the position of No. One alert for a long time actually, there still has been the experience of actual combat with Israel before. government of Ba Sha Er can stay firmly, government of Ba Sha Er returns know how things stand and feel confident of handling them to enrage now, the sufficient credit that supports army to this with him is not divided.

　　 Syria is located in " middle east heart " , once its security situation appears queasy, will spread to area of whole middle east

Syria is located in the heart region of Arabia world, north and Turkey border on, dong Tongyi pulls gram have a common boundary, abut with Jordan south, southwest and Lebanon and Palestine, Israel is adjacent, mediterranean photograph is lain between to look with Cyprus on the west. Environment of complex ground predestined relationship makes obstruction of interpose of western military affairs and risk very big.

15 pin vgaSyria is not Libyan, the importance that be being returned from position 12 volt adaptor car of national actua satin pjs for woman l strength, strategy no matter is big to middle east each country and west country, dou Yuansheng Yulibiya. Also be different from as a result of strategic position of Syria general, and drag in interest is very much, western country also must be weighed in the hand repeatedly.

Once Syrian government fall from power, will cause tremendous effect to area condition. Interrupt the economy that can affect circumjacent Arabia country badly to develop with the abidance of Syrian commerce, area politics domain also will by new delimit. Syrian politics change can affect its periphery country to be the same as the relation of Israel, then causes area security bureau situation is queasy.

Syria borders Israel, Palestine, Lebanon, decisive place is had in process of middle east peace. And current Syria is in process of middle east peace speak and act cautiously, once political situation has this state,change, make issue of middle east peace appears probably major variable. Look from area structure angle, political power of Ba Sha Er and Lebanon Allah party, Iraq, Iran is formed " region of crescent of assorted leaf clique " , especially with Iran it is stable strategic ally relationship. Rushed undertake external military affairs intervenes, probable " pull one hair and use the whole body " , make the west is immersed in similar be in in those days strategic predicament of Iraq.

In light of current condition, possibility is larger is, a alliance gives money, beautiful law to give opposition of martial equipment armed Syria, carry political power of Er of Ba Sha of crumple up of force of appraise country opposition. Moreover, the United States passes the possibility that assassinate Ba Sha Er or does military coup d'etat to topple regime of Ba Sha Er, also cannot eliminate.

Be aimed at complex condition of Syria, our country always advocates, international society Ying Congwei protects Syria and overall situation of peace and stability of middle east area to set out, create a condition to drive appraise condition to move toward alleviation, this accords with the prime increase of area country people and international society. Syria should open is included by what relevant parties participates in appraise extensively sexual politics course, those who respond to Syrian people is reasonable expect and appeal to beg, make condition alleviation comes down as soon as possible. (Bin of king of institute of frontier defence of the Chinese People's Liberation Army)